Category: Economic forecasts

Dec 28

The International Economic Outlook for 2013

As 2012 draws to a close, the financial press is dominated by the impending US “fiscal cliff”.  What seems remarkable in this age of 24/7 rolling news is that the crisis seems to have crept up on us without warning. Yet it was completely foreseeable. What is even more remarkable is that I have yet to read …

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Nov 07

City Book Fair November 13th 2012 – Preview of My Presentation on the International Financial Crisis

The international financial crisis is evolving very much as foreseen in The Golden Guinea.  The International Financial Crisis 2007-2014: Causes, Consequences and Cures, I am grateful to the organisers of next week’s City Book Fair at the Bishopsgate Institute, London EC2, for giving me the opportunity to present my analysis and proposed strategy for how it might be …

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Jun 29

Five Forecasts of The Golden Guinea (from the launch presentation in Edinburgh, June 28 2012)

The story goes of how Winston Churchill wanted to appoint a chief economic adviser during the war. “Are there by any chance any candidates who have lost a limb during the conflict?” he asked his senior civil servant. “What an excellent idea, Prime Minister,” responded the Sir Humphrey of the day. “To give special consideration …

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