Category Archive: Bond buying opportunities

Oct 13

Palmerston, Kondratieff and Me. Long waves in British financial markets.

The Victorian statesman Lord Palmerston once observed of the Schleswig-Holstein question that it was so complex that only three men had ever fully understood it. One of them had gone mad, the second had since sadly died, and the third was himself – but it was so long ago that he had completely forgotten the …

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Mar 16

A Real Time Financial Experiment in High Yield Bonds

Over the coming months, I am conducting a real-time financial experiment designed to test the validity of the hypothesis that investments in high yield bonds (so-called “junk bonds”) systematically outperform investments in apparently safer options such as gilt-edged securities or investment grade corporate bonds. The High Yield Hypothesis emerged from research undertaken by W Braddock …

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Jul 03

The Outlook for the Bond Market

In my comment on April 3rd, “Are Sterling Bond Prices in a Bubble?”, I concluded that, “Quantitative easing has led to an artificial bond bubble. Investors should be very cautious in committing new funds to UK fixed-income securities. Their risk / return profile is distinctly unappealing – none moreso than gilts issued by the UK …

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